2. DEVELOPMENTS IN INDIVIDUAL OECD COUNTRIES AND SELECTED NON-MEMBER ECONOMIES CHINA Economic growth has eased slightly, to 10.6% year-on-year in the first hind end of 2008. It is expected to slacken further oer the remainder of 2008 and in 2009, as the contribution from net exports declines, and the certain account surplus is set to fall to 9½ per centime of GDP by 2009. Domestic demand growth is intercommunicate to remain robust over the forecast horizon, with buoyant incomes drive up consumption. Inflation has increased sharply, driven by seafaring food prices, but is expected to ease several(prenominal)what spillage forward provided food prices stabilise, offsetting rising non-agricultural prices. With a positive end product gap and inflation spreading beyond food, macroeconomic policies essential to continue working to reduce overheating pressures. Chinese quest range are already higher than US rates and further increases would add to the problems of sterilising capital inflows. While a footfall revaluation of the currency would give to a greater extent scope to lecture interest rates and help moderate inflation, it would conflict with the regime desire to limit currency appreciation and would expose some sectors of the economy to adjustment pressures.
The fiscal balance is healthy and the political relation is well placed to raise social spending and home investment, and to support domestic growth if the global economy slows by more than expected. Output growth is slowing to a more sustainable pace Economic growth was extremely rapid in 2007at 11.9%. It slowed in the fourth quarter of 2007 and in the first quarter of 2008 as the contribution of net exports declined. Facing a retardation in trading partner growth and cuts in value-added impose rebates for exporters, exports decelerated from mid-2007, particularly in volume terms. Growth in exports to the US was particularly weak and the European Union is now chinas largest export market. In contrast, imports have been robust, outpacing exports. The... If you want to rise a full essay, order it on our website:
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